Annexes to COM(2017)237 - Nuclear Illustrative Programme presented under Article 40 of the Euratom Treaty - Main contents
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This page contains a limited version of this dossier in the EU Monitor.
| dossier | COM(2017)237 - Nuclear Illustrative Programme presented under Article 40 of the Euratom Treaty. |
|---|---|
| document | COM(2017)237  |
| date | May 12, 2017 |
3.1.Investments in the front end of the fuel cycle
The process of fabricating fuel (front end of the fuel cycle) includes different steps from uranium ore exploration and mining to fabrication of fuel assemblies.
While uranium mining activities are limited in the EU, abundant uranium resources are available worldwide. European companies rank among the world's major producers of nuclear fuel.
EU demand for natural uranium represents approximately one third of global demand and is obtained from a diverse range of suppliers. Kazakhstan (27%) was the main supplier in 2014, followed by Russia (18 %), and Niger (15 %). Australia and Canada accounted for 14 % and 13 % respectively.
In accordance with the European Energy Security Strategy, the Commission is taking action to ensure a well-functioning internal market for nuclear fuels and to further enhance security of supply. The Euratom Supply Agency assesses these matters continuously in its decisions on supply contracts, with particular attention paid to new-build projects.
While some companies offer integrated packages with services that span the nuclear fuel cycle, the Commission will ensure that this capacity will not act as a barrier to other companies that operate in a single segment of the nuclear cycle, as this would limit competition in the market.
Major investments have been made in the past in conversion and enrichment capabilities, and the focus in the coming years will be on modernising them in order to maintain EU technological leadership. Regarding the fabrication of nuclear fuel, the EU-based capacity would be able to cover all its needs for western-design reactors, whereas developing and licensing fuel assemblies for Russian-design reactors would take a few years (provided that a sufficient market is available to make the investment attractive for the industry). The Commission will continue to monitor the front end of the fuel cycle and use all instruments available at its disposal to ensure security of supply in the EU, diversification and global competition.
3.2.Investments and business environment for new nuclear power plants
All Member States operating nuclear power plants are investing in safety improvements. Due to the average age of the EU nuclear fleet, several Member States are also faced with policy decisions on the replacement or long-term operation of their nuclear power plants.
Figure 1 shows that without long-term operation programmes, around 90% of the existing reactors would be shut down by 2030, resulting in the need to replace large amounts of capacity. When Member States decide to proceed with the long-term operation of reactors, national regulatory approval and safety upgrades will be needed to ensure compliance with the Nuclear Safety Directive. Whichever options Member States choose, 90% of the existing nuclear electricity production capacity will need to be replaced by 2050.
Maintaining a nuclear generation capacity of between 95 and 105 GWe in the EU until 2050 and beyond would require further investments over the next 35 years. Between EUR 350 and 450 billion would have to be invested in new plants to replace most of the existing nuclear power capacity. Since new nuclear power plants are designed to operate for at least 60 years, these new plants would generate electricity until the end of the century.
A number of factors influence the availability of finance for investments in new nuclear capacity. For the two main cost components, overnight cost 15 and financing cost, the expected construction time and project discount rate play a significant role.
Different financing models are being examined or used in several EU Member States, such as the Contract for Difference 16 scheme proposed for the Hinkley Point C project in the UK or the Mankala model 17 proposed for the Hanhikivi project in Finland.
Some new, first-of-a-kind projects in the EU have experienced delays and cost overruns. Future projects using the same technology should benefit from the experience gained and should exploit cost-reduction opportunities, provided that an appropriate policy is established.
This policy should focus on improving cooperation between regulators when licensing new reactors and on encouraging industry to standardise nuclear reactor designs. In addition to improving cost efficiency, this would help make new nuclear power plants safer.
The licensing process, while falling under the exclusive competence of national safety regulators, presents opportunities for enhanced cooperation, for example in the pre-licensing steps or in design certification.
The aim of collaboration on licensing requirements should be to ensure that a design that is considered safe in one country does not have to be substantially modified to meet licensing requirements elsewhere, therefore reducing both time and costs. In this area the Commission intends to consult the European Nuclear Safety Regulators Group and the European Technical Safety Organisations Network.
On standardisation, construction codes are used as a common reference by all actors involved in the design and construction of power plants and other nuclear facilities 18 . Given the emergence of potential new vendors and the need to ensure control of any new model/technology, it would be beneficial to encourage vendors and suppliers to engage in an initiative to increase standardisation of their components and codes in order to ensure:
(a) a faster procurement process;
(b) greater comparability and more transparent and higher safety standards;
(c) increased capacity of operators to control technology and knowledge management.
Given the emphasis on optimising the use of existing resources and on mutual recognition to open up more opportunities, the Commission is closely following the work of the European Committee for Standardisation to see what potential policy options are needed at EU level.
3.3.Investments and business environment related to safety upgrades and the long term operation of existing nuclear power plants
In order to continuously improve nuclear safety, which is a key responsibility of the nuclear operators under the supervision of the competent national regulatory authorities, regular efforts are made to increase the robustness of nuclear power plants, in particular following specific reviews, periodic safety reviews or peer reviews such as the EU stress tests.
Many operators in Europe have expressed the intention to operate their nuclear power plants for longer than envisaged by their original design. From a nuclear safety point of view, continuing to operate a nuclear power plant requires two things: demonstrating and maintaining plant conformity to the applicable regulatory requirements; and enhancing plant safety as far as reasonably practicable.
In the light of information provided by Member States, an estimated EUR 45-50 billion will have to be invested in the long-term operation of existing reactors by 2050. The related investment projects will need to be communicated to the Commission, which will then issue its views on them in accordance with Article 41 of the Euratom Treaty.
Depending on the model and age of the reactor, national regulators assume that granting long-term operation programmes will mean extending their lifetime by 10 to 20 years on average.
Utilities and regulatory bodies need to prepare, review and approve the safety cases associated with these plans in accordance with the amended Nuclear Safety Directive. Enhancing cooperation among the regulators in the licensing processes, for example by setting common criteria, will help ensure an adequate and timely response to the challenge.
3.4.Increased activities in the back-end of the fuel cycle: challenges and opportunities
The back-end of the fuel cycle will need increasing levels of attention. It is estimated that more than 50 of the 129 reactors currently in operation in the EU are to be shut down by 2025. Careful planning and enhanced cooperation among Member States will be needed. All EU Member States operating nuclear power plants will have to take politically sensitive decisions on geological disposal and the long-term management of radioactive waste. It is important not to postpone actions and investment decisions on these issues as the acceptance of nuclear energy by civil society is closely linked to the ability to demonstrate responsible, safe and sustainable solutions for waste management.
3.4.1.Spent fuel and radioactive waste management
The Spent Fuel and Radioactive Waste Directive establishes legally binding requirements for the safe and responsible long-term management of radioactive waste and spent fuel, with the objective of avoiding undue burdens on future generations. Member States have made significant efforts towards implementing the Directive.
Each Member State is free to define its own fuel cycle policy. The spent fuel can be regarded either as a valuable resource to be reprocessed or as radioactive waste that is destined for direct disposal. Whatever option is chosen, the disposal of high-level waste, separated during reprocessing, or of spent fuel regarded as waste should be addressed.
France and the United Kingdom have reprocessing facilities in operation, although the UK has decided to shut its facilities down by 2018. A number of reactors in Germany, France and the Netherlands used mixed oxide (MOX) fuel in 2014.
Disposal facilities for low-level and intermediate-level radioactive waste are already in place in most Member States. Operators are moving from research to action with the construction of the world's first geological disposal facilities for high-level waste and spent fuel. These facilities are expected to become operational in Finland, Sweden and France between 2020 and 2030. Other European companies should take advantage of this expertise in order to consolidate the required skills and know-how and develop commercial opportunities at global level.
There is scope for cooperation between Member States, including the sharing of best practices or even through shared repositories. Whereas shared repositories are legally possible under the Directive, several issues still need to be resolved, in particular communicating with the public and building public acceptance. Another crucial step is to determine, who is ultimately responsible for the radioactive waste that needs to be disposed of as part of a multinational approach.
Member States operating nuclear power plants currently use facilities for storing waste for between 40 and 100 years. However, the storage of radioactive waste, including long-term storage, is an interim solution and not an alternative to disposal.
3.4.2.Decommissioning
Worldwide there is little experience in decommissioning power reactors. 90 nuclear power reactors have been shut down permanently in Europe as at January 2016. However, only 3 reactors have been completely decommissioned so far 19 (all in Germany).
European companies have the opportunity to become global leaders by developing the required skills in the domestic market, which includes measures to encourage the participation of SMEs. The use of best practice in the various stages of the decommissioning process, including through a staged approach that would allow benefit from the continuous reduction in the radiological hazard, would bring efficiency and safety improvements. Best practices could be promoted by creating a European centre of excellence, that brings together public and private actors, or by establishing it under the Decommissioning Funding Group.
3.4.3.Funding requirements for spent fuel, radioactive waste management and decommissioning
The Spent Fuel and Radioactive Waste Directive recognises that operators are fully responsible for the management of radioactive waste from generation through to final disposal. Funding has to be accumulated by the operators from the early years of operation and be ring-fenced to mitigate the risk of financial liabilities for governments to the extent possible. Member States guarantee this principle by establishing and maintaining national programmes that include an assessment of the costs and the applicable financing scheme.
Based on the latest information provided by Member States, 20 European nuclear operators estimated in December 2014 that EUR 263 billion will be needed for nuclear decommissioning and radioactive waste management until 2050, with EUR 123 billion for decommissioning and EUR 140 billion for spent fuel and radioactive waste management as well as deep geological disposal.
Member States have also provided data on assets backing these expected investments, which amounted to approximately EUR 133 billion. Typically, these assets are collected in dedicated funds, often combined for decommissioning and radioactive waste management. The most frequently used method to collect funds is a fixed contribution based on the electricity produced by the relevant nuclear power plants.
Member States apply different methods to estimate the costs of completing the back-end activities of the nuclear fuel cycle. The Commission will continue collecting additional data with the help of the Decommissioning Funding Group, and has drawn up a report on the implementation of the Radioactive Waste and Spent Fuel Directive.
4.Non-power applications
Nuclear and radiation technologies have many applications in the medical sector, industry, agriculture and research, with substantial benefits to society in all Member States.
More than 500 million diagnostic procedures using x-rays or radioisotopes are carried out in Europe each year, and more than 700 000 European healthcare workers use nuclear and radiation technology on a daily basis. There is a vibrant market for medical imaging equipment in Europe. It is worth more than EUR 20 billion and enjoys annual growth rates of about 5%.
Different types of research reactors are operated in the EU. They are used for material and nuclear fuel testing as well as basic research and development. Some also produce medical radioisotopes for the diagnosis and treatment of various diseases, including cancers, cardiovascular and brain disorders. Over 10 000 hospitals worldwide use radioisotopes for the in vivo diagnosis or treatment of some 35 million patients every year, of which nine million are European.
Europe is the second largest consumer of technetium-99m (Tc-99m), the most widely used diagnostic radioisotope. Several European research reactors involved in the production of medical radioisotopes are approaching the end of their lifespan, with the supply of medical radioisotopes becoming more fragile and leading to some severe shortages.
Action has recently been undertaken to coordinate the operation of research reactors in the European Union and abroad and to minimise interruptions in radioisotope production, for example the establishment of the European Observatory on the Supply of Medical Radioisotopes in 2012. 21 Despite these efforts, the issue of medical radioisotope capacity, especially in Europe, still requires full consideration by all stakeholders as it is essential to ensuring key medical diagnosis and treatments in the European Union.
The Commission considers that there is a need for a more coordinated European approach to the non-power uses of nuclear and radiation technology.
5.Maintaining EU technology leadership in the nuclear domain through further research and development activities
The EU must maintain its technological leadership in the nuclear domain, including the development of fusion through the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), 22 so as not to increase energy and technology dependence, and to provide European companies with business opportunities. This will in turn support EU growth, jobs and competitiveness.
The recent Communication on the Integrated Strategic Energy Technology Plan (SET-Plan) 23 further details that the priority for nuclear energy is to support the development of the most advanced technologies to maintain the highest level of safety in nuclear reactors and to improve the efficiency of operation, the back-end of the fuel cycle and decommissioning.
As underlined by European research and industrial stakeholders 24 , retaining technological leadership in the nuclear field is possible only if interested Member States maintain diverse and sufficiently funded nuclear research capabilities, including education and training aspects. However, it will not be easy for Europe to retain leadership in all areas in view of the significant increase in nuclear generating capacity in other regions of the world. This underlines the importance of cooperation at European level, especially in areas such as the expertise on safety of advanced and innovative reactors.
The ongoing Euratom programme contributes to these objectives by supporting nuclear research and training activities aiming at continuous improvement of nuclear safety, security and radiation protection, thus contributing to the long-term decarbonisation of the energy system.
The ITER project is a key step on the way to establishing fusion's future role in energy scenarios after 2050. Significant progress was made on ITER in 2016 in terms of revising the project baseline. In June 2016 the ITER Parties agreed on a new schedule and cost estimates for the period up to 2025. In November 2016 they gave their support to a fully revised baseline up to 2035, which is subject to final political approval in 2017.
Continuing to pursue research and development is instrumental to maintain the EU at the forefront of nuclear technology and develop the highest standards of safety, security, waste management and non-proliferation. This implies continued investment on research and training/education, as well as on nuclear research infrastructure.
6.Conclusion
According to the Commission's estimate, nuclear energy is expected to remain an important component of the EU’s energy mix in the 2050 horizon.
For those Member States choosing to use nuclear, the highest standards of safety, security, waste management and non-proliferation have to be ensured across the whole fuel cycle. It is crucial to ensure the swift and thorough implementation of the legislation adopted post-Fukushima. Top-level nuclear research, including through the development of state-of-the-art nuclear research infrastructure in the EU is fundamental to ensure that the EU maintains its competence in the field. Cooperation among national regulators on licensing and general supervision is seen as beneficial.
The nuclear fleet in Europe is ageing and significant investments are needed where Member States opt for a lifetime extension of some reactors (and related safety improvements), expected decommissioning activities and for the long-term storage of nuclear waste. Investments are also needed to replace existing nuclear plants. Such investments could also go in part to new nuclear plants. The total estimated investments in the nuclear fuel cycle between 2015 and 2050 are projected to be between EUR 660 and 770 billion 25 .
Finally, the rapid rise in nuclear energy use outside the EU (China, India, etc.) also means that the EU needs to maintain its global leadership and excellence in the technology and safety domains. To this end, continuous investment in research and development activities will be needed.
(1)
COM(2015)80.
(2)
COM(2014)330.
(3)
The others are Brazil and Canada.
(4)
27.5% from nuclear and 29.2% from renewable sources, Eurostat, May 2016.
(5)
OJ L 219, 25.7.2014, p. 42–52
(6)
OJ L 199, 2.8.2011, p. 48–56
(7)
OJ L 13, 17.1.2014, p. 1-73
(8)
SWD(2014)299
(9)
http://ec.europa.eu/research/energy/euratom/publications/pdf/study2012_synthesis_report.pdf
(10)
Source: Nuclear Energy Agency and International Energy Agency, 2015 (USD 1 = EUR 0,75)
(11)
Such as the decision of Germany and the new French energy transition law
(12)
Estimate within the range of the analysis performed by the Commission during the preparation of the 2030 Climate and Energy Framework. See SWD(2014)255 and SWD(2014)15
(13)
SWD(2014)255. This includes power grid investment, investment in power plants (including electricity and CHP) and steam boilers. All figures in this Communication are expressed in constant values unless stated otherwise.
(14)
Adopted on 4th April 2016.
(15)
The overnight construction costs include: construction, major equipment, instrumentation and control, indirect costs and owners cost
(16)
Contracts for difference entail a variable premium in view of the market price for electricity
(17)
An agreement similar to the cooperative system of undertaking known in other European countries. This model operates on a zero-profit basis; shareholders receive a relative share of the electricity produced by the nuclear power plant at cost price
(18)
This includes suppliers of the technology, architects, engineers, operators as well as inspectors and safety authorities
(19)
This means releasing the site from regulatory control.
(20)
Questionnaires sent to the members of the Decommissioning Funding Group, as well as National Programmes submitted under Directive 2011/70/Euratom, where available
(21)
http://ec.europa.eu/euratom/observatory_radioisotopes.html
(22)
ITER is a large-scale scientific experiment that aims to demonstrate the technological and scientific feasibility of fusion energy being built in France. It is an international collaborative effort between the Parties of the ITER Agreement: EU, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Russia and the USA.
(23)
COM(2015)6317.
(24)
SET-Plan Declaration of Intent on Strategic Targets in the context of Action 10: 'Maintaining a high level of safety of nuclear reactors and associated fuel cycles during operation and decommissioning, while improving their efficiency' https://setis.ec.europa.eu/implementing-integrated-set-plan/nuclear-safety-ongoing-work
(25)
See details in the Staff Working Document (SWD(2016) 102 final).